IFPS Methodology
Workshop

What: GFE/IFPS Methodology Workshop
Date: April 21-25, 2003
Where: Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO.
Who is invited: One (1) IFPS Focal Point from invited offices.
Why: OCWWS will be co-sponsoring a GFE/IFPS methodology workshop. The workshop will focus on issues with spin toward the practical sharing of information.
Contact Information: Brian Motta (OCWWS) is the workshop lead and can be contacted at (303) 497-6561. In ER, Rose Miller is the contact. In SR, Jack Settelmaier is the contact. In PR, Ken Waters is the contact.
Accounting code: 20-02-0000-06-00-00-00 A8M1JPDPDF
Actions for attendees prior to the meeting:
1) Due Date: March 14, 2003: Please let your contact know the name of the workshop participant. An email is fine.
2) Due Date: March 21, 2003 Please make hotel reservations by March 21, 2003 to ensure rates at or below per diem and room availability. Hotel and travel information is at end of agenda.
3) Due Date: April 14: The success of the workshop will depend heavily on the active participation of the attendees. We are discovering together how to make best use the GFE. Please select your best local IFPS methodology or practice from your office and be prepared to discuss it. We are requesting that each office bring a slide or two to explain your best practice and show an example. E-mail this to Brian and your regional focal point by April 14 . Brian will include these slides on the workshop web site. These do not have to be your final slides but will help us organize the agenda.
4) Bring a local methodology training guide copy if available.
Agenda
OCWWS IFPS/NDFD Methodology Workshop
Tuesday, April 22 --------------------------------------------
| 8:00 - 8:10 |
Welcome and Logistics -Accounting Code Change -Need to Verify TV Charges Post-facto -Phone, FAX and message contacts -D2D OB2 available for preview on 3rd floor in FSL Forecast Center |
Brian Motta |
| Session 1: | What are the IFPS Requirements for IOC ? | |
| 8:10 - 8:40 | Local Office and ORD Time Schedule/Requirements |
Jack Settelmaier -SR Melinda Bailey- SR Ken Waters -PR |
| 8:40 - 9:25 | ER Implementation Schedule/Requirements |
Dave Novak -ER |
| 9:25 - 9:45 | Update on Upcoming GFE/IFPS Builds | Mark Mathewson |
| 9:45 - 10:00 | MDL Update on IFPS | John Schattel |
| 10:00 - 10:20 | MDL Update on Marine IFPS | John Schattel |
| 10:20 - 10:30 | Break | |
| Session 2: | What To Do With IFPS Grids When The Hurricane is Forecast to Approach the Coastline ? | |
|
10:30 - 10:55 Telecon |
Vision for IFPS Marine and Coastal Forecast Products | Jamie Vavra |
| 10:55 - 11:50 Telecon |
TPC's Guidance and WFO
Forecast Grids:
Tropical Cyclone Working Group
Report on WFO Generated Wind Fields (Powerpoint) NDFD Hurricane Wind Team Team Decision Paper_final.wpd (Wordperfect) Gridded Summary (wpd) Meeting Notes 0212032 (wpd) TC_Wind_CharterV1 (wpd) TC Wind White Paper (wpd) |
Rick Knabb-TPC SOO |
|
11:50 - 12:05 Telecon |
Estimating Probabilities of Tropical Cyclone Surface Winds | Mark Demaria |
| 12:05 - 1:05 |
Lunch Optional Lunchtime Presentation: Convective Vortices: Waterspouts |
Joe Golden |
| 1:05 - 1:45 | Discussion on TPC Guidance and Probabilities | Jamie, Rick, and Mark |
| Session 3: | National Digital Forecast Database | |
| 1:45 - 3:00 |
National NDFD Process and Requirements/Schedule for Gridded Data (Corel Presentation) - Explanation of grid flow after WFO sends - Issue: what grids are sent to NDFD? (WordPerfect) - Matrix of Grids/Times with Q&A - Explanation of Floating POP12 (Corel Presentation) |
Dave Ruth |
| 3:00 - 3:10 | Break | |
| 3:10 - 3:25 | The Credible-Interval Forecast: An attractive concept for conveying probabilistic information in digital forecasts | Chip Kasper |
| 3:25 - 3:50 | NDFD "Hot" Issues |
Jack Settelmaier NDFD IWT |
| Session 4: |
Sharing Local Methodologies and Practices - Part 1 Theme: Marine |
|
| 3:50 - 4:20 | Forecasting Marine Air Temps | Irv Watson |
| 4:20 - 4:35 | IFPS Methodology for a Coastal Office | Matt Duplantis |
| 4:35 - 5:00 | AKQ Wave Tool | Brian Cullen |
Wednesday, April 23 -----------------------------------------
| Session 5: | Smart Tool Development and Management | |
| 8:00 - 8:20 |
GFE Wind Editing Demo |
Tom LeFebvre |
| 8:20 - 9:00 |
Science issue-how do we identify and share good smart tools? |
Dave Novak |
| Session 6: | New GFE Text Formatters | |
| 9:00-10:10 | New GFE Formatter Configuration Issues in IFPS
12.X
- What should work after install - What might break due to install - Realistic expectations for formatters -Specific formatter issues, Marine/Fire Weather/Zone |
Tracy Hansen |
| 10:10 - 10:25 | Break | |
| Session 7: |
Sharing Local Practices - Part 2 Theme: Mesoscale Detail in Forecast Grids |
|
| 10:25 - 10:55 | IFPS Grid Editing and Product Methodology | Matt Moreland |
| 10:55 - 11:15 | Improving the Quality of Forecast Data in LWX CWFA | John Margraf |
| Session 8: |
Sharing Best Local Practices - Part 3 Theme: Sharing Recommended Smart Tools |
|
| 11:15 - 11:30 | Utilizing Local Analysis Grids From ADAS | Matt Volkmer |
| 11:30 - 11:45 | Incorporating Mesoscale Information into GFE | Chris Darden |
| 11:45 - 12:45 | Lunch Optional: CWF Formatter Quality Discussion |
Melinda Bailey Tracy Hansen Tom LeFebvre |
| Session 9: | Collaboration and Strategies for Reducing Differences Along CWA Boundaries | |
| 12:45 - 1:15 |
HPC Collaboration (VISITview) Conference Call for Q&A with HPC |
Brian Motta Pete Manousos |
| 1:15 - 2:30 |
Collaboration in the NDFD Era Group Discussion: - methods to identify boundary issues quickly - how to resolve major differences |
Shannon White NDFD Sites |
| 2:30-2:45 | Break | |
| 2:45 - 3:15 |
ISC Performance - Alternate Strategies for Sending Grids |
Mark Mathewson |
| 3:15 - 3:35 | Group - Discussion on Improving Collaboration Process | Brian Motta NDFD Sites |
| 3:35 - 3:50 |
Shannon White Jack Settelmaier |
|
| 3:50-4:00 | Break | |
| Session 10: | Quality of Grids- Forecaster Feedback/Verification | |
| 4:00 - 4:45 | The Daily Forecast Critique | Sam Beckman |
| 4:45 - 5:10 |
Initial Forecaster Feedback Group Discussion: What do we need ? |
Brian Motta |
| 5:30 -7:30 | Informal Workshop Social @ Homewood Suites...everyone invited. This is a good chance to get to know some of the other IFPS focal points and attendees. |
Thursday, April 24 --------------------------------------
|
Sharing Local Practices - Part 3 Topic: Sharing Recommended Smart Tools |
||
| 8:00 - 8:20 | To Serp or Not To Serp | Clay Anderson |
| 8:20- 8:50 | Mesoscale Climatologies in GFE | Irv Watson |
| 8:50 - 9:15 | BOX Shift Structure & Maintaining Database/Grid Consistency | Matt Belk |
| 9:15 - 9:25 | Break | |
| 9:25 - 9:40 | Local IFPS Practices | Michael Scotten |
| 9:40 - 10:05 | TBW Methodology & Smart Tools | Charlie Paxton |
| 10:05 - 10:30 | POP - We Want It But Never Get It | Kurt Van Speybroeck |
| 10:30-10:50 | PE to POP | Vaughn Smith |
| 10:50 - 11:10 | RLX Smart Tools | Tom Mazza |
| Session 11: |
Sharing Local Practices - Part 4 Topic: Fire Weather |
|
| 11:10 - 11:35 |
Converting Fire Weather Mixing |
Jason Hess |
| 11:35 - 12:00 | Fire Weather Forecast Grid Development in South Central and Southeast Colorado | Dave Metze |
| 12:00 - 1:05 | Lunch | |
| Session 12: |
Sharing Best Local Practices - Part 5 Topic: Streamlining the IFPS Process |
|
| 1:05 - 1:20 | Streamlining IFPS Operations @ CRP | Mike Buchanan |
| 1:20 - 1:35 | Promoted Practices | Ruth Aiken |
| 1:35 - 1:50 | Choose Procedures GUI | Bob Stauber |
| 1:50 - 2:05 | T, TD Completeness Procedure | Dan Miller |
| 2:05 - 2:20 | Shift Duties and Lake Erie Marine Program | Jim Kosarik |
| 2:20 - 2:35 | Shift Duties at MFL/GFE Grid Manager Layout | Guy Rader |
| 2:35 - 2:45 | Break | |
| Session 13: | Will we be ready for IOC ? | |
| 2:45 - 3:05 | IFPS Issues at CHS | Dan St. Jean |
| 3:35 - 4:00 |
Group Discussion - what issues are the important to solve for implementation/IOC? - Discussion with Q&A |
|
| 4:00 - 4:30 | Work Grids and SERP | Shannon White |
| 4:30 | End of Workshop |
Workshop Participants
| Name/Office | Location | Best Practice Slides and Files |
| 1) Ruth Aiken-RAH | Raleigh, NC | Promoted Practices |
| 2) Clay Anderson- EWX | San Antonio, TX | To Serp or Not to Serp |
| 3) Melinda Bailey-SRH | Fort Worth, TX | |
| 4) Sam Beckman - NWSTC | Kansas City, MO | The Daily Forecast Critique |
| 5) Matt Belk- BOX | Taunton, MA | BOX Shift Structure & Maintaining Database/Grid Consistency |
| 6) Mike Buchanan- CRP | Corpus Christi, TX | Streamlining IFPS Operations |
| 7) Jeffrey Craven-JAN | Jackson, MS | |
| 8) Brian Cullen- AKQ | Wakefield, VA | AKQ Wave Tool |
| 9) Chris Darden- HUN | Huntsville, AL | Incorporating Mesoscale Information into GFE |
| 10) Mark DeMaria | Fort Collins, CO | Estimating Probabilities of Tropical Cyclone Surface Winds |
| 11) Matt Duplantis-LCH | Lake Charles, LA | IFPS Methodology for a Coastal Office |
| 12) Dana Griffin-LIX | New Orleans, LA | |
| 13) Rachel Gross-Zouzias- SJU | San Juan, PR | |
| 14) Jim Hayes- GYX | Gray, ME | |
| 15) Jason Hess- JAX | Jacksonville, FL |
Converting Fire Weather Mixing Height Tables into GFE Smart Tools
|
| 16) Chip Kasper-EYW | Key West, FL | The Credible-Interval Forecast: An attractive concept for conveying probabilistic information in digital forecasts |
| 17) Rick Knabb-TPC | Miami, FL |
Using TPC Guidance for Deterministic WFO IFPS/NDFD Grids NDFD Hurricane Wind Team Team Decision Paper_final.wpd Gridded Summary (wpd) Meeting Notes 0212032 (wpd) TC_Wind_CharterV1 (wpd) TC Wind White Paper (wpd) |
| 18) Jim Kosarik-CLE | Cleveland, OH | Shift Duties and Lake Erie Marine Program |
| 19) Pete Manousos-HPC | Camp Springs, MD | HPC Collaboration |
| 20) John Margraf-LWX | Sterling, VA | Improving the Quality of Forecast Data in LWX CWFA |
| 21) Tom Mazza | Charleston, WV | RLX Smart Tools |
| 22) Dave Metze- PUB | Pueblo, CO | Fire Weather Forecast Grid Development in SC and SE Colorado |
| 23) Dan Miller-CAE | Columbia, SC | T, TD Completeness Procedure |
| 24) Stephen Miller-MOB | Mobile, AL | |
| 25) Matthew Moreland- HGX | Houston, TX | IFPS Grid Editing and Product Methodology |
| 26) Dave Novak-ERH | Brookhaven, NY |
ER Implementation Schedule/Req. |
| 27) Charlie Paxton-TBW | Tampa, FL | TBW Methodology & Smart Tools |
| 28) Guy Rader- MFL | Miami, FL | Shift Duties at MFL/GFE Grid Manager Layout |
| 29) John Rozbicki- BUF | Buffalo, NY | |
| 30) Dave Ruth - MDL | Silver Spring, MD | NDFD Requirements and Update |
| 31) John Schattel- MDL | Silver Spring, MD | |
| 32) Michael Scotten- BMX | Birmingham, AL | Local IFPS Practices |
| 33) Jack Settelmaier-SRH | Fort Worth, TX | Local Office and ORD Time Schedule/Requirements |
| 34) Vaughn Smith- FFC | Atlanta, GA |
|
| 35) Bob Stauber- PHI | Philadelphia, PA | |
| 36) Dan St. Jean-CHS | Charleston, SC | IFPS Issues at CHS |
| 37) Matt Tauber-OKX | Brookhaven, NY | |
| 38) Kurt VanSpeybroeck-BRO | Brownsville, TX | POP - We Want It But Never Get It |
| 39) Jamie Vavra-OCWWS | Silver Spring, MD | Vision for IFPS Marine and Coastal Forecast Products |
| 40) Matt Volkmer- MLB | Melbourne, FL | Utilizing Local Analysis Grids from ADAS |
| 41) Bill Ward- GUM | Guam | |
| 42) Ken Waters-PRH | Honolulu, HI | |
| 43) Irv Watson- TAE | Tallahassee, FL |
Mesoscale Climatologies in GFE Forecasting Air Temps Over Water |
| 44)Shannon White - OCWWS | Silver Spring, MD | Collaboration Methodology |
| -----local participants ----------- | ||
| 45) Brian Motta-OCWWS | Boulder, CO | |
| 46) Mark Mathewson-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 47) Tracy Hansen-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 48) Tom LeFebvre-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 49) Mike Romberg-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 50) Deb Miller-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 51) Carl Bullock-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 52) Patrice Kucera-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 53) Woody Roberts-FSL | Boulder, CO | |
| 54) Eric Thaler- BOU | Boulder, CO | |
| 55) Todd Dankers- BOU | Boulder, CO |
Workshop Hotel
Homewood Suites-
Boulder, CO
4950 Baseline Road
Boulder, CO
Telephone: 303-499-9922
A block of 45 rooms is being held at government per diem until March 21, 2003. Please call to book your room and guarantee with a credit card as soon as possible. Room rate is $93. The unclaimed rooms will be released by the hotel after this date.
Check in: April 21
Check out: April 25
Important: When calling the hotel to make your room reservation, please refer to the following name/code: "Workshop IFPS"
Per diem for Boulder, Colorado area is: $93.00 lodging and $46 for M&IE.
Shuttle information for airport to hotel:
SUPER SHUTTLE INFO - FROM Denver International Airport (DIA) TO
Boulder:
Telephone: 303-444-0808
Cost: $19/per one way....or $36 for round trip.
Hours of operation: They run 10 minutes past each hour: Starting at 6:10 AM,
Last shuttle time is 11:10 PM.
HOMEWOOD HOTEL SHUTTLE:
Hours of operation: 7:00 am - 5:00 pm (holds 7 people at a time.) I have
"reserved" the shuttle service for a first come basis for the IFPS group to use,
however, please note that the last shuttle is 5:00 pm.
The room rate is $93.00 per night which is government per diem.
Additional
visitor information about FSL may be found here.
There is good, frequent public transportation to/from the Denver International Airport to Boulder hotels. There is both a regional RTD bus, and several van companies.
Other IFPS Methodology Workshops:
Workshop #1: January 2003- WR, CR, SR, PR, AR
Workshop #2: March 2003- SR, CR, ER
Workshop #3: March 2003- AR,ER,SR,CR
Workshop #4: April 2003- PR,ER,SR (this page)
Back to IFPS Training Information Page
Last Updated 4/23/2003
National Weather Service
Office of Climate, Water, and Weather Services
Questions: Brian.Motta@noaa.gov